Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.485568 0.555949 0.632094 0.720486 0.820161 0.928964 1.056612
2025-04-06 0.381075 0.477013 0.589379 0.730239 0.901603 1.102788 1.356328
2025-04-13 0.292111 0.397669 0.530810 0.709985 0.943573 1.236390 1.629699
2025-04-20 0.242717 0.357036 0.511358 0.732825 1.040007 1.448112 2.027819
2025-04-27 0.206205 0.326060 0.498359 0.760649 1.145512 1.684236 2.488630
2025-05-04 0.172273 0.291842 0.474284 0.767826 1.221677 1.888295 2.930107
2025-05-11 0.143989 0.260479 0.448535 0.767245 1.284574 2.078917 3.373304
2025-05-18 0.121466 0.233901 0.425358 0.766035 1.344624 2.270195 3.837338
2025-05-25 0.104137 0.212778 0.407322 0.769648 1.411423 2.477616 4.347403
2025-06-01 0.090746 0.196154 0.394089 0.778832 1.487496 2.706669 4.914923
2025-06-08 0.077761 0.177678 0.374244 0.772564 1.534515 2.890121 5.422499
2025-06-15 0.069655 0.167510 0.368418 0.791267 1.628306 3.163180 6.110852
2025-06-22 0.059901 0.152033 0.349847 0.782955 1.671221 3.351481 6.671119
2025-06-29 0.053440 0.142666 0.342406 0.796034 1.757244 3.628041 7.420905
2025-07-06 0.045400 0.127851 0.320695 0.775722 1.773116 3.772289 7.934588
2025-07-13 0.041637 0.122862 0.320230 0.801593 1.887919 4.120894 8.876551
2025-07-20 0.038583 0.119082 0.321953 0.832549 2.017072 4.510371 9.934645
2025-07-27 0.034626 0.111985 0.314455 0.840833 2.096998 4.805946 10.828346
2025-08-03 0.030755 0.104257 0.304051 0.840516 2.157137 5.065137 11.669109
2025-08-10 0.027350 0.097121 0.293956 0.839405 2.215033 5.324459 12.532277
2025-08-17 0.024575 0.091284 0.286342 0.843470 2.285560 5.617685 13.493415
2025-08-24 0.022339 0.086657 0.281304 0.853552 2.371844 5.953866 14.577120
2025-08-31 0.019819 0.080452 0.270643 0.846789 2.414910 6.194542 15.466352